Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.052815 0.062065 0.072401 0.084798 0.099257 0.115583 0.135414
2025-07-27 0.038741 0.050812 0.065780 0.085674 0.111396 0.143507 0.186625
2025-08-03 0.030761 0.043921 0.061603 0.087032 0.122603 0.170531 0.239970
2025-08-10 0.025914 0.039686 0.059454 0.089785 0.135031 0.199908 0.299888
2025-08-17 0.020951 0.034124 0.054161 0.086692 0.138024 0.215711 0.342017
2025-08-24 0.017829 0.030680 0.051261 0.086400 0.144672 0.237177 0.394842
2025-08-31 0.015211 0.027530 0.048216 0.085199 0.149377 0.255783 0.445096
2025-09-07 0.013606 0.025794 0.047166 0.087020 0.159107 0.283451 0.513481
2025-09-14 0.011878 0.023531 0.044823 0.086141 0.163855 0.303002 0.570036
2025-09-21 0.010268 0.021213 0.042010 0.083927 0.165748 0.317513 0.619046
2025-09-28 0.008868 0.019071 0.039198 0.081256 0.166307 0.329446 0.664432
2025-10-05 0.008151 0.018198 0.038717 0.083060 0.175717 0.359053 0.747148
2025-10-12 0.007374 0.017095 0.037657 0.083620 0.182872 0.385464 0.827587
2025-10-19 0.006693 0.016098 0.036681 0.084227 0.190228 0.413219 0.914429
2025-10-26 0.006148 0.015320 0.036062 0.085510 0.199175 0.445288 1.014280
2025-11-02 0.005764 0.014857 0.036076 0.088205 0.211573 0.486128 1.138094
2025-11-09 0.005050 0.013474 0.033766 0.085163 0.210445 0.497103 1.196481
2025-11-16 0.004590 0.012655 0.032675 0.084876 0.215720 0.523067 1.292323
2025-11-23 0.004135 0.011773 0.031304 0.083695 0.218659 0.543915 1.378558
2025-11-30 0.003878 0.011383 0.031117 0.085485 0.229192 0.583964 1.515906
2025-12-07 0.003524 0.010664 0.029975 0.084621 0.232831 0.607640 1.615518
2025-12-14 0.003154 0.009838 0.028426 0.082445 0.232744 0.622001 1.693212
2025-12-21 0.002808 0.009026 0.026799 0.079820 0.231096 0.632167 1.761232